IMPACT: PROLIFERATION INCREASES WAR RISK
James Doyle, Senior Analyst at the Science Applications Intl, 1998 [PULLING BACK FROM THE BRINK p. 501
US allies such as Japan, Turkey, Israel, and South Korea would be directly threatened by nuclear proliferation in their regions. Moreover, a survey of emerging nuclear states in the Middle East, South Asia, and the Korean peninsula reveals that a range of factors such as domestic political tensions, unresolved interstate conflicts, limited command and control capabilities, and tack of survivable basing modes indicate that nuclear deployments in these areas are likely to be particularly destabilizing.
EACH STATE THAT OBTAINS NUCLEAR WEAPONS INCREASES RISK OF CATACLYSM
Goodpaster committee, steering committee on eliminating .veapons of mass destruction,
Henry Stimson Center 1997, The Washington Quarterly/Summer "The Declining Utility of Nuclear Weapons" pg. 92
Risk of Nuclear use. Most importantly, the very existence of nuclear weapons entails a risk that these weapons will be used one day, with devastating consequences for the United States and ocher nations. The manipulation of nuclear risk in U.S.-Soviet relations, as during the Cuban Missilc Crisis and the 1973 Middle Eastern crisis, by its nature implied a danger that a crisis could escalate and end in a cataclysmic nuclear exchange. In the multipolar structure of international relations chat characterizes the post-Cold War period, the risks of nuclear us,could increase with every new nuclear power.
WITH NUCLEAR WEAPONS, A SMALL COUNTRY CAN HOLD OFF A MUCH LARGER ONE
JK DUTT, retired Lieutenant-Colonel, Indian Army, March 28, 2001 THE STATESMAN (INDIA) HEADLINE: Imponderables of a nuclear race //VT2002acsln
Today, a small country with a nuclear arsenal can confidently hold itself against any attack by a superior power.
Contextually speaking, if Kuwait and Taiwan hold nuclear weapons, Iraq and China, respectively, would think twice before committing any act of wilful aggression. Noted British defence analyst Shelford Bidwell in his arguments on nuclear ascendancy brings out the truth that the current nuclear-five nations - USA, England, France, Russia and China - suffered terribly during World War II, at the hands of the Axis powers because of a disproportionate military balance.
The chances of a repetition of such exploitation is remote because of the nuclear power equation.